学位論文要旨



No 122241
著者(漢字) 李,廷恩
著者(英字) LEE,JUNGE UN
著者(カナ) イー,ジョンウン
標題(和) 連続分布として表される都市現象に関する一連の分析手法の開発
標題(洋) Development of Methods for Analyzing Urban Phenomena Represented by Surfaces
報告番号 122241
報告番号 甲22241
学位授与日 2007.03.22
学位種別 課程博士
学位種類 博士(工学)
学位記番号 博工第6446号
研究科 工学系研究科
専攻 都市工学専攻
論文審査委員 主査: 東京大学 助教授 貞廣,幸雄
 東京大学 教授 小出,治
 東京大学 教授 岡部,篤行
 東京大学 教授 浅見,泰司
 東京大学 講師 大森,宣暁
内容要旨 要旨を表示する

1. Backgrounds

 For describing spatial phenomena, various types of spatial objects such as point, line, polygon and surface are used. These spatial objects are used on GIS and provide easier understanding of spatial phenomena. In explaining spatial phenomena especially, urban phenomena, points indicate the location of facilities including stores, schools, offices and so forth, lines are for describing road network, river that are connected to each other. Polygons are often used to represent the land use of regions. For surfaces, various geographical or urban phenomena are often represented in the format of TIN when used on GIS. For instance, population density, CO2 emission, temperature of a region and etc. showing continuous distribution are described by surfaces. Such approach is useful since it helps us to understand the distribution of geographical or urban phenomena in terms of their spatial meaning that provides information from the data that are not easily found by visualization. Moreover, considering the situation that series of data describing spatial phenomena get digitalized and are given in complex form quantitatively and qualitatively, it is important that we should make full use of given such spatial data by means of effective techniques such as GIS and other methods for analysis. Among various spatial objects mentioned above, we focus on surface analysis in this study in various aspects, because the methodology of analyzing surfaces is not fully developed. In addition, surface is used to represent urban phenomena such as population density which shows the status of urban growth. From such aspect, methods of analyzing surface are required to understand the change of urban structure.

 In terms of types of spatial objects to be treated in surface analysis, the study fields of surface analysis can be divided into three categories. First, it includes analysis of one surface which is the simplest case. Second, it is required to analyze the relationship between two surfaces if there exist multiple of them. Third, surface analysis on the relationship between one surface and other spatial objects where they have mutual effect can be treated as well. There are some approaches previously studied for surface analysis so far concerning study fields described above, however, more generalized and effective approaches are still required for resolving problems such as analysis approach from different aspect from previous ones or limitation on data availability.

 Concerning the methods for one surface analysis, there are trend surface analysis, geostatistics and surface network. Trend surface analysis is one of the oldest mathematical techniques that have been used consistently by geologists for the analysis of geological data. The technique represents a methodology for manipulating map data and it produces a smooth approximation of a 3-D surface. Trend surface is the result of trend surface equation that is a linear polynomial and it is the graphical representation of the mathematical equation. This method separates a mapped variable into two components, the trend and the residuals from the trend. The trend corresponds to the concept of "regional features," while residuals represent "local features." Used in this manner, trend surface analysis is a global method for filtering spatial data. Geostatistics is a collection of statistical methods which were traditionally used in geo-sciences, mathematics and statistics. In statistical point of view, this approach models both spatial trend and spatial correlation dealing with spatial process indexed over continuous space. Geostatistics changes the entire methodology of sampling. Traditional sampling methods don't work with autocorrelated data and therefore, the main purpose of sampling plans is to avoid spatial correlations. Also, geostatistics changes the emphasis from estimation of averages to mapping of spatially-distributed populations. Surface network is usefully used to describe the topological structure of a surface. This concept is developed to visualize the structure of geographic surfaces which are recognized as functions of three or more variables. Therefore, surface network describes a surface by connection of pits, cols and peaks which consisting a surface. This concept is modified and developed for its various uses.

 The second approach of surface analysis is relationship analysis between two surfaces. In this approach, quantitative methods and qualitative method are applied for the analysis. Different from one surface analysis, the method is focused on finding the difference between two surfaces which is able to describe the relationship between two surfaces. Quantitative methods distinguish the difference between two surfaces by statistical measures. Pearson's correlation coefficient is often used to evaluate similarity of two surfaces whose values at each point are in linear relationship. For Kappa index of agreement, it is often used for accuracy assessment in the remote sensing fields which is a mean to test two images whether their differences are due to chance or real agreement or disagreement. It is also used for comparison of general surface data as well. Kullback-Leibler information number is used for comparing probability density functions where the value of each function should not be zero. For this measure, it can be applied to generalized surface if total surface volume is standardized to 1. As for qualitative approach, surface network is representatively used to describe the topology of a surface.

 For surface analysis between two surfaces, for instance, previous approaches focus on surface comparison at global scale by statistical measures or topology description while there are few studies on comparison from spatial difference of surfaces. For quantitative methods, it is difficult to distinguish surface difference occurred by surface transformation, and for surface network, it is not effective to distinguish surface difference when given surfaces have the same topology. The result of comparison would be the same. Thus, better description of analysis results that provides findings which are not understood from previous approaches is necessary.

 The third approach of surface analysis is treating a surface in relation to a set of other spatial objects. This analysis takes approaches including visual analysis on GIS or modeling by mathematical measures. This case handles, for instance, extracting a subset of a spatial object whose distribution is related to that of a surface. The method to be applied in each case changes depending on the characteristics and availability of given data since there exist various combinations between a surface and other spatial objects such as surface-points, surface-lines, surface-polygons and surface-multiple spatial objects. Therefore, it is necessary to determine the range of analysis clearly. In this study, we focus on micro scale retail marketing environment since marketing analysis with the help of GIS plays an important role in the field of urban analysis where the information of location is a key factor to understand consumers' purchase behavior. From such background, the study topic is to detect a subset of points that has much effect on the surface distribution with limited data availability. For a set of points, the location data of competing stores are used and sales distribution of a store is treated as a surface.

2. Goal of this paper

 Based upon research background described in previous section, brief explanation of study goal concerning study topics of relationship analysis between two surfaces and that of between a surface and a set of points are described in following subsections.

2.1 Analysis of the relationship between two surfaces: 1. Development of minimum transformation approach

 This study theme treats surface analysis in the context of surface comparison between two surfaces. By surface comparison, it is able to distinguish the difference between two surfaces that represents various urban phenomena such as population density, industrial production, accessibility and so forth is understood. The result of surface comparison is expected to provide useful information that is not known from the visualization of given data.

 As for previous approaches of surface comparison, the simplest one is comparison by visualization. This approach is useful if the difference is obvious, however if the given data has enormous amount of records and the shape is complex then this approach is not effective. Concerning another approach for surface comparison, quantitative measures such as Pearson's correlation coefficient, Kappa index of agreement and Kullback-Leibler information number are applied to evaluate global similarity of surfaces in statistical aspect. In addition, where the focus of comparison is on the structural perspective of surfaces, surface network is used for comparison which is a qualitative approach by describing the topology of each surface by connecting peaks, pits and cols of it for surface comparison. Both quantitative and qualitative measures are effective for surface comparison in limited occasions as mentioned above. Furthermore, these methods are not able to evaluate structural difference obtained by surface transformation such as shift or rotation and so forth even though these measures are useful to describe the surface difference by statistical approach or by comparing topology of each surface at global scale. Thus, in this study, surface comparison by surface transformation is introduced. The method is defined by the concept of earth moving problem and named minimum transformation in this study. By using this method, it is expected that structural difference between surfaces can be understood which explains the tendency of surface volume transformation both in local and global aspect which cannot be explained with previous approaches.

2.2 Analysis of the relationship between two surfaces: 2. Extension of minimum transformation approach

 From the result of minimum transformation in the first step, it is found that convergence or divergence points of surface volume which indicates the tendency of surface transformation is specifically evaluated than the distribution of subtraction in surface volume between two surfaces. However, the extension of minimum transformation approach is necessary for more detailed comparison results other than divergence or convergence of surface volume such as structural difference in terms of the shape of surfaces. In the extended version, two types of surface transformation depending on the transformation direction of surface volume are defined. The transformation of movement is the transformation in horizontal direction and that of add/remove indicates a type of transformation in vertical direction. In addition, weight parameter controls the portion of each transformation type in the process of surface transformation. By combining these two types of surface transformation, it is expected that surface difference is evaluated from various aspects such as the shape of surfaces at global scale by comparing transformation cost of each transformation type with different value of weight parameter including the findings understood from the result of minimum transformation in the first step.

2.3 Analysis of a surface in relation to a set of points

 This research topic treats surface analysis of extracting a subset of points that strongly affects the distribution of a surface. Since this study topic deals both a surface and a set of points that interactively affect each other, it is not enough to apply methods of analyzing one surface. For possible examples related to this topic, there are facility location problem of choosing better location among many candidates based on the information of population density, evaluating the usefulness of existing stores with sales status in a certain market area and so forth.

 Extracting strong competitors of a store by its sales history can be a special example of relationship analysis between a surface and a set of points since this case have to deal with limited data availability since there is no information of competitors except their location. For such problem, if required data including questionnaire surveys, the data of consumers' store choice behavior are available, it can be easily solved by using disaggregate spatial choice models such as the logit model. From the proposed method, due to the limit of data availability, we are trying to get as accurate result from logit model estimation as possible that describes the real world situation in a reasonable manner.

審査要旨 要旨を表示する

 GIS上で都市現象を表すもっとも基本的な要素として,ポイント,ライン,ポリゴン,サーフェスがある.本研究ではこれらのうち,サーフェスに関する新たな分析手法の開発を行っている.

 サーフェスに関する既存の分析手法は,その適用対象によって,1)単一のサーフェスを扱うもの,2)複数のサーフェス間の関係を扱うもの、3)サーフェスと他の空間オブジェクトの関係を扱うものの3つに分類することができる.

 1)単一のサーフェスを分析する既存手法には,傾向面分析、地球統計学(geostatistics)、サーフェスネットワークがある。傾向面分析は,サーフェスを多項式近似し,その大域的な傾向を把握するために用いられる.地球統計学は主として空間補間に用いられる手法であり,その副産物として,サーフェスの空間的変動に関する指標値(関数)を与える.サーフェスネットワークは,トポロジーを援用してサーフェスの位相構造を表現する手法である。頂点,底点,鞍点という概念を用いて,サーフェスの位相構造をネットワークとして簡潔に表現することができる.

 2)複数のサーフェス間の関係を分析する手法は,定性的手法と定量的手法の2つに大別される.前者にはサーフェスネットワークがあり,サーフェス間の類似性は位相構造の類似性に置き換えて評価される.後者にはPearsonの相関係数,Kappa index,Kullback-Leibler情報量があり,いずれも,二つのサーフェスの類似性を単一の指標値によって表現する.

 3)サーフェスと他の空間オブジェクト間の関係を分析する手法には、その適用分野に応じて実に多くの既存手法が存在する.人口分布と都市基盤施設,地価分布と大規模小売店舗,など,都市現象の中でサーフェスと他の空間オブジェクトの関係性として記述される場面は多い.

 以上の背景をふまえ,本研究では特に既存研究の不足している,2つのサーフェス間の関係,及び,サーフェスと点分布の間の関係に着目し,それらを分析する定量的手法を開発,その適用を行う.

 まず,2つのサーフェス間の関係を分析する手法について述べる.この手法により,人口密度や産業生産量分布、都市施設への近接性などといった都市現象を表するサーフェス間の比較やその変化の把握が可能となる.

 サーフェス相互の比較には,前述のPearsonの相関係数,Kappa index,Kullback-Leibler情報量といった定量的手法や,サーフェスネットワークなどの定性的手法が利用できる.しかしながらこれらの手法では,サーフェス間の差異を識別できないことが少なくない(例えば回転や平行移動などの単純な変換).そこで本研究では,既存手法では識別できない差異を識別することを目的とする.具体的には最小変換という,運土計画問題における基本概念を利用し,サーフェスを相互変換する際の費用の大小によって,そのサーフェス間の類似性を評価する.

 運土計画問題では,土の移動のみを変換動作として採用している.本研究ではさらに,土の新設と削除という概念を付加し,サーフェス間の変換をより多様な形にした最小変換を考える.複数の変換概念を同列に扱うため,個々の重み付けを規定するパラメータを導入し,最小変換導出の過程を単一の数理計画問題として定式化する.問題は通常の線形計画問題となり,解の導出は比較的容易である.

 上述の手法を,関東地方における複数時点の人口分布の比較に適用したところ,大域的及び局所的のいずれのスケールにおいても新たな知見を得られ,提案した手法の有効性が確認された.

 最後に本研究では,サーフェスと点分布の関係を分析する手法として,サーフェス分布に最も影響を与える点集合の部分集合の抽出手法を提案した.具体的には,ある店舗の出前売上データに基づき、その店舗に対する影響力が大きい競争店舗を抽出する.顧客の店舗選択行動をロジットモデルによって記述し,購買履歴データからモデル推定を実施,最も可能性の高い競合店舗を抽出する.手法の有効性は,実際の店舗購買データへの適用によって立証されている.

 以上のように,本論文はサーフェスに関する複数の新たな分析手法を提案しており,その独創性と有用性は手法の適用によって十分に示されている.よって本論文は博士(工学)の学位請求論文として合格と認められる.

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